Dr. Lee Fawcett

Lecturer in Statistics

Newcastle University

University Strategic Development Grant

In 2014 I was awarded a University Strategic Development Grant for Impact Generating Activity, to develop software tools for identifying road traffic accident hotspots. Neil Thorpe, from the Transport Operations Research Group, is co-investigator. In 2015 we were awarded a second impact grant to support demonstrations of our software to road safety practitioners in the UK, and to help develop links with our industrial partners at PTV Group.

We are now working closely with road safety practitioners in the UK, including the Tyne and Wear Accident Data Unit (TADU), North Yorkshire County Council, North Yorkshire Police and Road Safety Analysis UK; we hope to build on recent international collaborations with similar organisations in Europe, the Middle East and South America in 2017.

More details about the outcome of this work, including links to the software tools we have developed, will be available here soon.

Papers, articles, conferences and presentations

Gleeson, J. (2018). Deaths cut across North Yorkshire after more safety vans brought in.The Northern Echo.

Fawcett, L. and Thorpe, N. (2017). Do speed cameras really save lives? The Conversation magazine.

Fawcett, L., Thorpe, N., Matthews, J.T. and Kremer, K. (2017). A novel Bayesian hierarchical model for road safety hotspot prediction. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 99, pp. 216-271.

Matthews, J.T., Newman, K., Green, A., Fawcett, L., Thorpe, N. and Kremer, K. (2016). A decision support toolkit to inform road safety investment decisions. Municipal Engineer, submitted.

Fawcett, L., Matthews, J.T., Kremer, K. and Thorpe, N. (2016). Road safety hotspot prediction: A study of the city of Halle, Germany. Proceedings of the 95th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, 2016.

Newman, K., Fawcett, L., Thorpe, N., Matthews, J.T. and Green, A. (2016). Road safety hotspot prediction: A demonstration of the RAPTOR tool to predict accidents in Halle, Germany. . Proceedings of the 14th Annual Transport Practitioners’ Meeting, London, 2016.

Fawcett, L., Thorpe, N., Galatioto, F., Matthews, J.T., Hoffmann, T., Humanes, P., Kremer, K. and Muench, A. (2015). A new approach to performance-based statistical hotspot analysis. Proceedings of the 94th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington DC, 2015.

Fawcett, L., Matthews, J.T., Kremer, K., Thorpe, N., Newman, K., Gelatioto, F., Muench, A. and Hoffmann, T. (2015). A novel approach to collision hotspot identification accounting for regression to the mean and trend. Proceedings of the 13th Annual Transport Practitioners’ Meeting, London, 2015.

Thorpe, N., Fawcett, L., Matthews, J.T., Newman, K., Galatioto, F., Kremer, K., Muench, A. and Ahuja, S. (2015). A novel approach to collision hotspot identification. Invited presentation at the ITS and Road Safety Forum, Doha, Qatar, 8th-9th September 2015 .

Fawcett, L. and Thorpe, N. (2013). Mobile safety cameras: estimating casualty reductions and the demand for secondary healthcare. Journal of Applied Statistics, 40, 11, pp. 2385-2406.

Thorpe, N. and Fawcett, L. (2012). Linking road casualty and clinical data to assess the effectiveness of mobile safety enforcement cameras: a before and after study. BMJ Open, 2: e001304.