model {for (i in 1:30) {loss[i]~dnorm(lossmean[i],tau) lossmean[i]<-alpha+beta[1]*(hard[i]-60)+beta[2]*(tens[i]-200) hard[i]~dnorm(muhard,tau.hard) tens[i]~dnorm(tensmean[i],tau.tens) tensmean[i]<-delta[1]+delta[2]*(hard[i]-60) } alpha~dnorm(150,0.000625) beta[1]~dnorm(0,0.0025) beta[2]~dnorm(0,0.0025) beta0<-alpha+60*beta[1]+200*beta[2] muhard~dnorm(60,0.0025) delta[1]~dnorm(200,0.0004) delta[2]~dnorm(0,1) tau.tens~dgamma(1,2000) tau.hard~dgamma(1,100) tau~dgamma(2,3200) }