Clinical Trials (Med Stats A)

MAS367


Module leader: Professor JNS Matthews

Credits: 10

Semester: 2

Programme: 24 lectures + 6 tutorials/practicals

Availability: Third and fourth year students. MAS367 alternates with MAS363. It runs in 1998-99 but not in 1999-00.

Pre-requisites: MAS233 and MAS272 (MAS353 desirable)

Co-requisites: None


Description:

New drugs, new types of operations, new screening programmes are some examples of new medical procedures whose efficacy needs to be assessed before their value to patients and to society can be assured. Over the last fifty years the randomized controlled trial has come to have a dominant role in this area of medical research. The ideas behind clinical trials are essentially statistical, and statisticians are closely involved with all aspects of their design, analysis and implementation. This course introduces the main statistical ideas, explains why they are needed and presents the principal methods that are employed.


Aims and Objectives:

To provide an appreciation of the need for and use of clinical trials in medical practice and an understanding of the principal statistical methods required.


Syllabus:

Historical context and the need for randomization in the assessment of treatments. The idea of bias. Patient selection, ethical constraints and allocation to treatment. Power calculations. Methods for controlling bias in assessing outcomes. Analysis of data from clinical trials: baselines as covariates. Subgroups and multiple outcome variables. Protocol deviation and "Analysis by Intention to Treat''. Crossover trials.

Reading:

D.G. Altman: Practical Statistics for Medical Research (Chapman and Hall, 1991).
P. Armitage and G. Berry: Statistical Methods in Medical Research (Blackwell, 1994).
S.J. Pocock: Clinical Trials: a Practical Approach (Wiley, 1983).

Assessment:

Assessment of course work (10%), mid-semester test (10%).
1.5 hour examination at end of Semester (80%).


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