Professor Robin Henderson (Newcastle University)

Thirty years survival

Session Chair - Dr Andrew Golightly (Newcastle University)

My first talk to the RSS NE group, some 30 years ago, was on survival analysis in general and explained variation for censored data in particular. For this, one assumes my last RSS NE group talk, I will give a personal review of developments in those areas in the interim and potential trends for the future. I will illustrate using event history data on changes of ownership of 4000 ships, where time can be measured in three ways: length of ownership, age of vessel, and calendar scale. The aim is to identify economic drivers of sale and purchase. I will look also at how methods developed for event history data have been transported into other areas, including longitudinal and topological data analyses.

Professor Peter Diggle (Lancaster University)

A Tale of Two Parasites: how can Gaussian processes improve public health in Africa?

Session Chair - Professor Richard Boys (Newcastle University)

In this talk, I will first make some general comments about the role of statistical modelling in scientific research, illustrated by a simple undergraduate physics experiment and two examples from infectious disease epidemiology. I will then describe in detail how statistical modelling based on latent Gaussian processes is being used in a multi-national control programme for onchocerciasis (river blindness) in equatorial Africa. Finally, I will suggest that statistical thinking is an essential part of scientific method, and that this should guide our teaching of statistics to science students.

Professor Peter Green (UTS Sydney and University of Bristol)

Paternity testing and other inference about relationships from DNA mixtures

Session Chair - Professor Michael Goldstein (Durham University)